RAMSEY CROOKALL & CO
21st March 2012
Morning Report
The FTSE 100 is up 0.3% at 5907.75 off earlier highs, after weak UK public borrowing
figures. Miners continued on worries about a growth slowdown in China. %. The focus
will now be on the 2012 Budget Report at 12:30.
Retailers were on the rise in early trading with Marks & Spencer, Sainsbury, Tesco
and Morrison making gains. Debenhams was leading the gainers on the FTSE 250 after
Citigroup upped its recommendation on the stock from hold to buy.
Sainsbury, once Britain's leading supermarket chain by sales but now relegated to
the number three slot, has continued its revival in the fourth quarter with like-
or-like (LFL) sales growth ahead of expectations. LFL sales in the 10 weeks to
March 17th were up 2.5% year-on-year, or 2.6% excluding fuel. That was down from
the third quarter growth rate of 4.8% (inc. fuel) but better than the 2.1% growth
the market had been expecting.
Outsourcing giant Serco was the highest riser after HSBC upgraded its rating from
neutral to overweight and hiked its target price from 550p to 635p. Morgan Stanley
also raised its recommendation from equal weight to overweight and raised its target
rice by the same amount. Telecoms giant Vodafone was also advancing after Goldman
Sachs upgraded the stock from buy to conviction buy.
Meanwhile, the insurers were being sold off, with Standard Life and Aviva being
the two-worst performers.
Kazakhstan-focused miner Eurasian Natural Resources Corp (ENRC) fell despite saying
it expects production to be at full available capacity across all divisions in 2012,
with increased copper volumes anticipated. The bullish outlook statement accompanied
full year results for 2011 which showed revenue up 17% to $7.71bn and underlying
earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation up 7% to $3.43bn.
On the FTSE 250, Ophir Energy, the African energy firm which began trading in London
last year, is hailing 2011 as a 'transformational year' as both revenue and cash-flow
surged. Revenue jumped from just $0.53m in 2010 to $14.68m in the 12 months ended
December 31st 2011, helped by a farm-out gain from its AGC Profond interests to Noble
Energy.
Elsewhere, trading the GAME Group's shares have been suspended with the board
conceding that, in its opinion, there is no equity value left in the group. The
verdict came after the board had assessed the status of the ongoing and regular
discussions between GAME and its lending banks and between its lending banks and
a potential third party provider of finance to the business.
THE FTSE 100 @ 10:00 Up 16 @ 5,907
THE DOW JONES closed Down 68 @ 13,170
THE NASDAQ closed Down 4 @ 3074
Exchange Rates
GBP – USD @ 10:00 1.5860
GBP - EURO @ 10:00 1.1952
Wednesday 21st, March 2012 11:22pm.