RAMSEY CROOKALL
Afternoon Report
27th October 2011
The FTSE 100 is up, shrugging off data that show UK retail sales were lower in
October compared with the same month a year ago. The Confederation of British Industry
distributive trade survey finds 24% of retailers reported higher sales volumes in October
compared with a year earlier, while 36% said sales were lower. Banks continue to power
ahead after European leaders agree on bank recapitalization measures and haircuts on Greek
debt No further domestic data is due. In the US, 3Q GDP figures are released.
The Eurozone and the Institute for International Finance (IIF) have agreed on a voluntary
‘haircut’ on Greek debt of 50%, which is expected to allow the country to reduce its stock
of debt to 120% of GDP by the year 2020 from 160% now. As well, the Eurozone will offer
€30bn in credit enhancements to the private sector in exchange.
An agreement has also been reached on increasing the size of the European Financial
Stability Fund. The amount remaining, following aid payments so far to periphery nations,
and which is approximately €290bn, will be leveraged by around 4-5 times, producing a
headline figure of around €1tn.
UK lenders Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds and mining peers Xstrata, Rio Tinto
and Kazakhmys, all saw their share prices jump over 5%. Investors seemed to take no notice
that Kazakhmys this morning reported falling output and grades across all its metal groups
in the third quarter.
Royal Dutch Shell reported that it had doubled its earnings in the third quarter. However,
the shares rose by just 1%, underperforming on a relative basis to the FTSE 100, after
reporting that output was slightly lower.
Pharmaceuticals giant AstraZeneca's rise was also rather subdued, at just 0.5%, after it
reported that revenues fell 2% at constant currency in the third quarter.
Laird rose strongly on the FTSE 250 after announcing that revenue from continuing
operations rose by 18% in the third quarter, as it attempts to shake off its
nderperforming businesses.
THE FTSE 100 at 12:00 Up 138 @ 5692
THE DOW JONES closed Up 162 @ 11869
NASDAQ COMP closed Up 12 @ 2650
Commodities
Spot Gold $/Oz $1715 Down 0.52 %
Brent Crude Oil $110.89 Up 1.24 %
Exchange Rates
GBP – USD 1.6017
GBP - EURO 1.1414
Thursday 27th, October 2011 01:15pm.