RAMSEY CROOKALL & CO
EVENING REPORT
14 SEPTEMBER 2010
The afternoon session has been much like the morning one with the FTSE 100
drifting sideways.
There has been some focus on companies that rely, in part, on contracts from
the public sector, and the feeling is that the worries about the government
tap being turned off may have been overdone.
Telecoms firm Cable&Wireless Worldwide has convinced the government to spend
£82m on a five and a half year global telecoms framework contract. The largely
UK focused part of the old Cable & Wireless, split off in March, believes the
deal with the Foreign & Commonwealth Office (FCO), which also includes a suite
of IP services, will pave the way for similar contracts with other government
departments. The shares have rallied almost 3% on the news.
Bus and train group National Express, meanwhile, has been given a seven month
extension on its East Anglia rail franchise. “An extra 6-months of the franchise
may only be worth a one-off up to £10m of EBIT [earnings before interest and tax]
in fiscal 2011 (i.e. c£7m after tax) vs NatEx.s market cap of £1.3bn,” RBS notes,
but it “keeps NatEx in the rail game a little longer,” buying the company time
to repair relationships with the government.
KBC Peel Hunt has upgraded its earnings forecast for fiscal 2011 by 6% but is
leaving its recommendation unchanged, “because it does not necessarily mean that
National Express has a future in rail beyond these extensions.” Nevertheless,
the broker notes, “there is clearly a return to more normal dialogue [with the
government] and this augurs well for the company’s potential rehabilitation
as a rail provider.
Elsewhere, Directors selling shares at chip designer ARM Holdings seems to have
put the kybosh on rumours that the company is being sized up as a takeover
candidate. The shares are the worst performers among FTSE 100 candidates,
down 4% at 389p.
And retail giant Marks & Spencer has limped into positive territory in the wake
of a visit by analysts yesterday to the company’s flagship Marble Arch store in
London. Investec issued a “hold” recommendation but said it expects the shares
to continue to rally ahead of new boss Marc Bolland’s strategic review.
THE FTSE 100 CLOSED UP 1 @ 5567
THE DOW JONES AT 4.30 IS UP 26 @ 10,570
THE NASDAQ COMP AT 4.30 IS UP 1 @ 2284
Exchange Rates
GBP – USD 1. 5518
GBP – EUR 1. 1941
Tuesday 14th, September 2010 05:11pm.